Trade on
Earn money for predicting the future.
Enter the marketplace of ideas, literally.
On Railbird, each market is an event. The price of the market reflects the Railbird trading community’s belief in an event's likelihood. You can buy and sell contracts at any time, giving you the flexibility to react to new information, fresh insight, or even a gut feeling as events unfold.
Coming soon
Markets launching soon!
- Railbird is a federally regulated exchange, with plans to launch soon.
- Easy to understand markets
- User-friendly
- Accessible in all 50 states
Master the markets. Trade on Railbird.
Start trading your opinions and see what they're worth
FAQs
Railbird is a federally regulated exchange where users can trade event contracts. These contracts allow you to take a position on the outcome of real-world events, such as inflation rates, election results, or weather patterns.
You can buy and sell event-based contracts to express your view on whether something will or will not happen. If your prediction is correct, the contract will pay out.
Railbird offers contracts whose value is tied to specific outcomes. Users trade these contracts as prices move based on changing information and public sentiment. Payout occurs when the event is resolved, either on the scheduled settlement date or earlier if the result is known.
A prediction market is a trading venue where participants buy and sell contracts linked to future outcomes. Prices reflect the market's collective belief about the likelihood of an event. For example, if a contract pays $1 if rainfall in Los Angeles exceeds one inch on a certain date, and it is trading at $0.30, the market is effectively assigning a 30% probability to that outcome.
Individuals over the age of 18 with valid identification and a U.S. bank account can apply for an account. Businesses and financial institutions may also apply to participate in trading.
Railbird is designated as a contract market by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which regulates derivatives markets in the United States. We also work with a registered clearing house to ensure transaction integrity and market stability. For full details on our governance and operations, please refer to the Railbird Rulebook.